Cold front 44 will impact Mexico with storms and hail this weekend

The Mexican territory will experience a weekend of critical contrasts with temperatures of up to 45 degrees, severe gusts of wind and potential hail. The interaction between the heat wave and the new cold front 44 will generate unstable weather conditions in multiple regions of the country.

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Atmospheric dynamics for Friday, April 10

The National Weather Service reports a complex configuration due to an upper-level trough and the subtropical jet stream. These conditions will cause a drop in temperature and precipitation in the northwest, while the rest of the nation remains under the influence of a persistent heat wave.

Risks from winds and whirlwinds

Gusts of high intensity wind are anticipated with the potential formation of whirlwinds in Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León and Tamaulipas. This phenomenon is combined with heavy occasional rains in the north and center of the country, specifically affecting San Luis Potosí, Hidalgo, Tlaxcala, Puebla and Veracruz.

Precipitation and shower map

Heavy rains: Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, San Luis Potosí, Hidalgo, Tlaxcala, Puebla, Tamaulipas, Veracruz and Oaxaca.
Showers: Guanajuato, Querétaro, Morelos, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Guerrero, Chiapas and Tabasco.
Isolated rain: Baja California, Sonora, Durango, Michoacán, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.

Atmospheric Dynamics and National Risks

Upper-elevation trough and active subtropical jet stream

Risk of Whirlwinds

North Zone

Chihuahua Coahuila N. León Tamaulipas

Precipitation Map

Strong

HGO, TLAX, PUE, SEE, OAX

Showers

CDMX, EDOMEX, GTO, QRO, MOR

Isolated

SON, DGO, MICH, YUC, Q.ROO

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Persistent Heat Wave

While the Northwest drops, the rest of the country maintains extreme temperatures.

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Thermal intensity and zones of maximum heat

The distribution of extreme heat is concentrated on the Pacific coast and the south of the country. Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima and Michoacán will register the highest values, reaching 45 °C in specific areas. The center and southeast, including Morelos, Guerrero, Oaxaca and Chiapas, share this maximum temperature forecast.

In a second thermal stratum of 35 to 40 °C are Sonora, Chihuahua, Nuevo León, Durango, Tamaulipas and the Yucatán Peninsula. Regions such as Zacatecas, Aguascalientes and San Luis Potosí will maintain a more moderate but hot range, oscillating between 30 and 35 °C.

Impact of cold front 44 during Saturday and Sunday

The entry of frontal system 44 in the northwest will set the tone for the weekend. Its movement, in interaction with an anticyclonic circulation, will maintain a predominantly hot environment, but with events of hailstorms and electrical discharges in central and eastern areas due to the collision of air masses.

Rain forecast for April 11

Rainfall will intensify in Coahuila, Nuevo León and Tamaulipas. San Luis Potosí, Querétaro and Hidalgo will also face heavy rains. In the central zone, the State of Mexico, Tlaxcala and Puebla will see significant rainfall activity, while the rest of the country will present intervals of showers to isolated rains in the Yucatan Peninsula.